Thursday, April 9, 2009

Elliott Wave Principle: Key to Market Behavior by Robert Prechter

Highly acclaimed basic handbook of Elliott Wave Theory which has come to be regarded as a definitve work in this area. Thoroughly covers all the relative concepts. Fibonacci Numbers, wave analysis, time sequence, cyclic analysis, etc. One of the most fascinating books on market forecasting you'll ever read.

Part 1: Elliott Theory Chapter One: The Broad Concept including, *Basic Tenets *Terminology and Labeling * Impulse Waves and Variations *Corrective Waves *Zigzags * Flats * Triangles * Double and Triple Threes * Diagonal Triangle Type 2

Chapter Two: Associated Rules and Guidelines * Counting Rules * Alternation * Depth of Corrective Waves * Wave Equality * Charting the Waves * Channeling * Volume * The Right Look * Wave Personality * Learning the Basics * Applying the Basics

Chapter Three: Historical and Mathematical Background of the Wave Principle * Leonardo Fibonacci da Pisa * the Fibonacci Sequence * The Golden Section * The Golden Rectangle * The Golden Spiral * The Meaning of Phi

Elliott wave principle

The Elliott wave principle is a form of technical analysis that attempts to forecast trends in the financial markets and other collective activities. It is named after Ralph Nelson Elliott (1871–1948), an accountant who developed the concept in the 1930s: he proposed that market prices unfold in specific patterns, which practitioners today call Elliott waves. Elliott published his views of market behavior in the book The Wave Principle (1938), in a series of articles in Financial World magazine in 1939, and most fully in his final major work, Nature’s Laws – The Secret of the Universe (1946).[1] Elliott argued that because humans are themselves rhythmical, their activities and decisions could be predicted in rhythms, too. Critics argue that the Elliott wave principle is pseudoscientific and contradicts the efficient market hypothesis.

The wave principle posits that collective investor psychology (or crowd psychology) moves from optimism to pessimism and back again. These swings create patterns, as evidenced in the price movements of a market at every degree of trend.

Practically all developments which result from (human) socialeconomic processes follow a law that causes them to repeat themselves in similar and constantly recurring series of waves of definite number and pattern. R. N. Elliott's model, in Nature’s Law: The Secret of the Universe says that market prices alternate between five waves and three waves at all degrees within a trend, as the illustration shows. As these waves develop, the larger price patterns unfold in a self-similar fractal geometry. Within the dominant trend, waves 1, 3, and 5 are "motive" waves, and each motive wave itself subdivides in five waves. Waves 2 and 4 are "corrective" waves, and subdivide in three waves. In a bear market the dominant trend is downward, so the pattern is reversed—five waves down and three up. Motive waves always move with the trend, while corrective waves move opposite it.